Invest or Pay Extra on Mortgage?

In writing this post, I discovered that this question is very common1,2,3,4, and that my treatment will be relatively simplistic (I almost didn't post it, but this blog has been dark for a while...). There are many issues to consider beyond total worth, including the liquidity of savings versus home equity, tax and tax-sheltered savings, variability in interest rates, etc.

Consider the problem where a certain amount of monthly income E is available to either invest in savings (i.e., savings or money market account, CD, mutual funds, stocks, other unwieldy financial instruments5), or to make an additional payment towards a home mortgage. The relevant quantities are denoted

  • B_l, B_s - Loan or Savings Balance
  • P - Initial Loan (Principal)
  • R_l, R_s - Monthly Interest Rates
  • A - Minimum Monthly Mortgage Payment
  • N - Number of Payments / Investments
  • E - Unallocated Earnings
  • S - Monthly Savings (S \leq E)

Hence, S is the portion of E that is invested, where the remainder of E is used to reduce the mortgage balance. Our problem is to select S.

The balance formulae for savings and loans are, respectively,

\begin{array}{r c l}B_s & = & P_s(1+R_s)^N + S[(1+R_s)^N - 1]/R_s \\ B_l & = & P_l(1+R_l)^N - (A + E - S)[(1+R_l)^N - 1]/R_l\end{array}.

Derivation of these formulae6 relies on the sum of geometric series7. For simplicity, we assume that no savings have been accumulated thus far (i.e., P_s = 0). In this scenario, the total accumulated value is the sum of home equity and savings

\begin{array}{r c l}W & = & P_l - B_l + B_s \\ & = & P_l - P_l(1+R_l)^N + (A + E - S)[(1+R_l)^N - 1]/R_l + S[(1+R_s)^N - 1]/R_s \end{array}


By factoring S, we find that W = C + S\{[(1+R_s)^N-1]/R_s - [(1+R_l)^N-1]/R_l\}, where C is constant with respect to S. Hence, it's optimal to save all of E (i.e.,S=E) when [(1+R_s)^N-1]/R_s is greater than [(1+R_l)^N-1]/R_l, but to save none of E (i.e., to apply E towards mortgage principle) when the opposite is true. What's interesting here, and not immediately intuitive, is that optimality depends only on the related interest rates, but not the mortgage balance!